1.0Hopehttp://www.arolnick.com/hopeAlexander Rolnickhttp://www.arolnick.com/hope/author/arolnick/Expert knowledge - Hoperich600338<blockquote class="wp-embedded-content" data-secret="Pmlkv2MFj0"><a href="http://www.arolnick.com/hope/2021/05/18/expert-knowledge/">Expert knowledge</a></blockquote><iframe sandbox="allow-scripts" security="restricted" src="http://www.arolnick.com/hope/2021/05/18/expert-knowledge/embed/#?secret=Pmlkv2MFj0" width="600" height="338" title="“Expert knowledge” — Hope" data-secret="Pmlkv2MFj0" frameborder="0" marginwidth="0" marginheight="0" scrolling="no" class="wp-embedded-content"></iframe><script>
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Why are we so confident about what we know? We assume expert or high-level knowledge in many fields of knowledge for which we have no rational basis to assume we are experts. Even in fields where we might justifiably be called experts, we regularly fail to make the best possible judgments, decisions, or predictions.